Basel vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
BAS
0 - 0
RBS
51%
24%
26%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 1
STG
60%
21%
19%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
THU
2 - 2
BAS
27%
24%
49%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
BAS
3 - 0
MTA
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
GCZ
1 - 1
BAS
29%
26%
45%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
SIO
1 - 2
FCA
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
FCA
1 - 4
THU
43%
26%
32%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
LAU
0 - 1
FCA
29%
26%
46%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
FCA
1 - 2
ZUR
28%
23%
48%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
FCL
3 - 2
FCA
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |