Basel vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
14.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
STG
4 - 0
BAS
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2000 |
LUG
1 - 0
BAS
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2000 |
FEY
1 - 0
BAS
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2000 |
BAS
4 - 2
SER
56%
23%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
BAS
2 - 1
YVE
70%
18%
13%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
FCA
2 - 0
NEX
56%
22%
22%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2000 |
LAU
1 - 3
FCA
72%
17%
10%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2000 |
FCA
1 - 1
SIO
42%
25%
33%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
ZUR
1 - 0
FCA
63%
22%
16%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2000 |
FCA
3 - 3
FCL
53%
23%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |