Basel vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
29%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1997 |
SIO
1 - 0
BAS
70%
19%
12%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1997 |
BAS
1 - 3
NEX
32%
26%
42%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1997 |
STG
2 - 1
BAS
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1997 |
BAS
3 - 3
GCZ
29%
26%
45%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1997 |
BAS
3 - 2
LAU
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1997 |
FCA
1 - 2
STG
60%
22%
17%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1997 |
LAU
2 - 0
FCA
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1997 |
FCA
1 - 1
ZUR
64%
22%
14%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1997 |
SIO
2 - 3
FCA
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1997 |
FCA
2 - 3
NEX
39%
27%
35%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |