Basel vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1985 |
YOB
0 - 0
BAS
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1984 |
BAS
1 - 0
YOB
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1984 |
FCA
1 - 0
BAS
54%
22%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1984 |
BAS
4 - 1
LAC
66%
19%
15%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1984 |
BAS
4 - 1
FCL
69%
18%
13%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1985 |
FCA
1 - 0
LAC
65%
20%
16%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1984 |
LAC
5 - 4
FCA
46%
25%
28%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1984 |
FCA
1 - 0
BAS
54%
22%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1984 |
LAU
0 - 0
FCA
56%
23%
22%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1984 |
FCA
1 - 1
ZUR
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |