Conference League qualifiers Playoffs. Final
Global 2-1
Basel vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
ALL
0 - 5
BAS
3%
11%
85%
|
82 | 19 | 63 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
CSK
1 - 0
BAS
29%
25%
46%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 2
LUG
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
BAS
2 - 1
BIF
62%
20%
18%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 0
YOB
39%
24%
37%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
CSK
1 - 0
BAS
29%
25%
46%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
CSK
1 - 0
SEP
62%
22%
15%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
STP
0 - 2
CSK
36%
27%
38%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
CSK
0 - 1
STP
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
CSK
5 - 1
BER
54%
25%
22%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |