Q. Europa League Play-offs Final
Global 3-3
Basel vs Apollon Limassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
20%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
MNG
0 - 3
BAS
4%
11%
85%
|
84 | 10 | 74 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
BAS
1 - 0
VIT
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
BAS
3 - 2
SIO
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2018 |
VIT
0 - 1
BAS
37%
25%
39%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
BAS
4 - 2
GCZ
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Apollon Limassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
DIN
1 - 0
APO
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2018 |
APO
4 - 0
DIN
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
APO
3 - 1
ZEL
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
ZEL
1 - 2
APO
41%
26%
34%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
APO
2 - 0
STU
78%
15%
7%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |