Base Vilanova 2015 vs Sant Sadurni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
52.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Base Vilanova 2015
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2025 |
BVC
3 - 1
RCD
65%
18%
17%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
RUE
0 - 5
BVC
17%
18%
65%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
BVC
5 - 0
OLV
82%
12%
7%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
MON
4 - 0
BVC
62%
19%
19%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
BVC
5 - 2
MUN
79%
13%
8%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Sant Sadurni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2025 |
SCS
1 - 3
SSD
38%
22%
40%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
SSD
5 - 0
RCD
76%
14%
10%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
QUI
0 - 3
SSD
5%
11%
84%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
SSD
6 - 2
RUE
85%
10%
5%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
PUI
1 - 2
SSD
43%
21%
36%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |