Tercera División RFEF IV - Basque Country Round 9

CD Basconia vs CD Lagun Onak analysis

CD Basconia CD Lagun Onak
36 ELO 33
2.5% Tilt -18.9%
5166º General ELO ranking 7911º
181º Country ELO ranking 371º
ELO win probability
61.5%
CD Basconia
20.9%
Draw
17.7%
CD Lagun Onak

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
CD Basconia
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
17.7%
Win probability
CD Lagun Onak
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
CD Basconia
+90%
-47%
CD Lagun Onak

Points and table prediction

CD Basconia
Their league position
CD Lagun Onak
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
11º
55
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
CD Vitoria
82
82
100%
CD Basconia
64
64
0%
Beasain KE
64
64
0%
Portugalete
60
60
100%
Deusto
59
59
100%
CD Lagun Onak
55
55
100%
SCD Durango
50
50
100%
San Ignacio
47
47
100%
Leioa
45
45
100%
Urduliz FT
10º
45
45
10º
100%
CD Derio
12º
40
40
11º
0%
Deportivo Alavés C
11º
40
40
12º
0%
CD Touring
14º
39
39
13º
0%
CD Padura
13º
39
39
14º
0%
Pasaia KE
15º
34
34
15º
100%
Anaitasuna FT
16º
32
32
16º
100%
Aurrera KE
17º
21
21
17º
100%
Añorga
18º
19
19
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
CD Basconia
CD Lagun Onak
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

CD Basconia
CD Lagun Onak
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CD Basconia
CD Basconia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Oct. 2023
CDV
CD Vitoria
1 - 1
CD Basconia
BAS
62%
21%
16%
35 42 7 0
21 Oct. 2023
BAS
CD Basconia
1 - 0
Pasaia KE
PAS
68%
18%
14%
34 28 6 +1
14 Oct. 2023
CDP
CD Padura
2 - 1
CD Basconia
BAS
23%
26%
52%
35 27 8 -1
07 Oct. 2023
BAS
CD Basconia
2 - 3
CD Touring
CDT
77%
14%
9%
36 23 13 -1
01 Oct. 2023
SAN
San Ignacio
0 - 1
CD Basconia
BAS
25%
24%
51%
35 24 11 +1

Matches

CD Lagun Onak
CD Lagun Onak
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Oct. 2023
LON
CD Lagun Onak
3 - 1
Añorga
AÑO
79%
15%
6%
33 18 15 0
21 Oct. 2023
DAC
Deportivo Alavés C
0 - 1
CD Lagun Onak
LON
51%
23%
26%
32 29 3 +1
14 Oct. 2023
LON
CD Lagun Onak
3 - 1
Deusto
DEU
41%
26%
34%
30 31 1 +2
07 Oct. 2023
LEI
Leioa
1 - 2
CD Lagun Onak
LON
63%
21%
17%
29 33 4 +1
30 Sep. 2023
LON
CD Lagun Onak
1 - 0
SCD Durango
CDU
38%
26%
36%
28 31 3 +1