Tercera División RFEF IV - Basque Country Round 14

CD Basconia vs CD Padura analysis

CD Basconia CD Padura
35 ELO 23
-2.2% Tilt -19.5%
4860º General ELO ranking 9768º
160º Country ELO ranking 574º
ELO win probability
74.8%
CD Basconia
15.7%
Draw
9.5%
CD Padura

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.8%
Win probability
CD Basconia
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
9.5%
Win probability
CD Padura
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
CD Basconia
+92%
-19%
CD Padura

Points and table prediction

CD Basconia
Their league position
CD Padura
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
31
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Barakaldo
75
78
100%
CD Vitoria
57
60
100%
Leioa
57
57
100%
CD Basconia
51
54
100%
Deusto
46
46
100%
Portugalete
41
42
100%
SCD Durango
37
37
57.5%
Pasaia KE
36
36
19%
Anaitasuna FT
34
35
13.5%
Aurrera KE
10º
34
35
10º
24%
Urduliz FT
11º
33
34
11º
35.5%
CD Lagun Onak
13º
30
33
12º
53.5%
CD Padura
12º
31
31
13º
46%
CD Touring
14º
29
30
14º
57%
San Ignacio
15º
26
27
15º
82.5%
CD Aurrera Vitoria
16º
12
12
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
CD Basconia
CD Padura
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

CD Basconia
CD Padura
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CD Basconia
CD Basconia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Dec. 2022
AFT
Anaitasuna FT
2 - 1
CD Basconia
BAS
30%
26%
45%
36 27 9 0
03 Dec. 2022
BAS
CD Basconia
2 - 1
Leioa
LEI
55%
22%
23%
35 33 2 +1
27 Nov. 2022
POR
Portugalete
2 - 3
CD Basconia
BAS
45%
26%
29%
34 36 2 +1
19 Nov. 2022
BAS
CD Basconia
2 - 3
Pasaia KE
PAS
72%
17%
11%
35 25 10 -1
06 Nov. 2022
SAN
San Ignacio
2 - 4
CD Basconia
BAS
40%
26%
34%
34 30 4 +1

Matches

CD Padura
CD Padura
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Dec. 2022
CDP
CD Padura
0 - 0
CD Lagun Onak
LON
25%
27%
48%
24 30 6 0
03 Dec. 2022
URD
Urduliz FT
3 - 3
CD Padura
CDP
45%
26%
28%
24 25 1 0
27 Nov. 2022
CDP
CD Padura
0 - 1
Barakaldo
BAR
10%
18%
72%
24 43 19 0
19 Nov. 2022
DEU
Deusto
1 - 1
CD Padura
CDP
65%
21%
14%
24 33 9 0
05 Nov. 2022
CDP
CD Padura
3 - 1
CD Touring
CDT
40%
26%
34%
23 22 1 +1