CD Basconia vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
47.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+92%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
5º
4º
75
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
75 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
57.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 35 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
24% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
35.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 33 |
12º
|
53.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
46% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
15º
|
82.5% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
DEU
2 - 1
BAS
36%
26%
37%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 1
CDT
76%
15%
9%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
AUR
0 - 1
BAS
23%
23%
54%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CDU
2 - 3
BAS
36%
26%
38%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
BAS
2 - 0
CDP
75%
16%
10%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 0
LON
78%
15%
8%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
URD
1 - 1
BAR
10%
18%
72%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
BAR
4 - 0
AUR
81%
13%
6%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
DEU
1 - 1
BAR
17%
22%
61%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
BAR
4 - 0
CDT
82%
12%
6%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |