3ª Catalana Round 11

Bascara A vs Palafrugell analysis

Bascara A Palafrugell
13 ELO 15
17.1% Tilt 5.6%
15902º General ELO ranking 14005º
4204º Country ELO ranking 2851º
ELO win probability
37.7%
Bascara A
22.2%
Draw
40.1%
Palafrugell

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
Bascara A
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
40.1%
Win probability
Palafrugell
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bascara A
-14%
+11%
Palafrugell

ELO progression

Bascara A
Palafrugell
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bascara A
Bascara A
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Nov. 2015
BAS
Bascara A
3 - 1
Cabanes UE
CAB
73%
15%
13%
12 8 4 0
01 Nov. 2015
BEG
Begur
1 - 1
Bascara A
BAS
28%
22%
50%
12 9 3 0
25 Oct. 2015
BAS
Bascara A
3 - 1
Cistella CF
CIS
57%
20%
24%
11 11 0 +1
18 Oct. 2015
LLA
Llançà
1 - 0
Bascara A
BAS
50%
21%
29%
12 12 0 -1
11 Oct. 2015
BAS
Bascara A
2 - 1
Vilabertran AE
VIL
66%
17%
17%
11 9 2 +1

Matches

Palafrugell
Palafrugell
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Nov. 2015
PAL
Palafrugell
6 - 0
Begur
BEG
76%
15%
9%
15 9 6 0
31 Oct. 2015
CIS
Cistella CF
1 - 3
Palafrugell
PAL
25%
22%
53%
15 10 5 0
24 Oct. 2015
PAL
Palafrugell
0 - 0
Llançà
LLA
60%
20%
20%
15 13 2 0
17 Oct. 2015
VIL
Vilabertran AE
0 - 5
Palafrugell
PAL
20%
21%
58%
14 9 5 +1
10 Oct. 2015
PAL
Palafrugell
1 - 0
Marca de L'Ham
MAR
35%
23%
41%
14 16 2 0