Bascara A vs Fortia A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.5%
18.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-83%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bascara A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
PAL
2 - 1
BAS
80%
13%
7%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
CAB
1 - 3
BAS
73%
15%
12%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
BAS
1 - 1
BEG
36%
22%
42%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CIS
2 - 1
BAS
41%
22%
38%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
BAS
1 - 1
LLA
40%
22%
38%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fortia A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 3
BEG
30%
22%
48%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
CIS
3 - 2
FOR
51%
21%
29%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
FOR
0 - 2
LLA
33%
23%
45%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
6 - 1
FOR
42%
22%
36%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -2 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 0
MAR
14%
19%
67%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | +3 |