Basáñez vs Oriental analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basáñez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
BAS
1 - 0
CAI
88%
9%
3%
|
67 | 10 | 57 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
BAS
2 - 1
PLA
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
COL
1 - 0
BAS
57%
22%
21%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
BAS
3 - 0
ALT
85%
12%
4%
|
67 | 28 | 39 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2021 |
TAC
1 - 0
BAS
40%
26%
34%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Oriental
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
ORI
1 - 0
HBU
37%
23%
40%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
ORI
0 - 1
BVS
29%
25%
47%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
CAN
0 - 3
ORI
37%
25%
38%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
ORI
2 - 5
TAC
28%
25%
48%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
POT
1 - 2
ORI
41%
25%
34%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |