Basáñez vs Oriental analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
30.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basáñez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
POT
1 - 4
BAS
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
BAS
4 - 0
UMO
43%
23%
33%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
PLA
0 - 7
BAS
39%
23%
39%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 4
BAS
17%
20%
63%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 4
ALB
46%
23%
31%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Oriental
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ORI
1 - 2
CSY
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
ORI
2 - 0
ALB
59%
20%
21%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
ORI
8 - 2
MAR
84%
12%
5%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ORI
2 - 1
POT
61%
20%
19%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2013 |
UMO
0 - 0
ORI
41%
24%
36%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |