Basáñez vs Durazno FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
24.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basáñez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
COL
2 - 0
BAS
37%
26%
37%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BAS
0 - 0
SBI
80%
13%
7%
|
64 | 31 | 33 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
CMP
1 - 1
BAS
6%
13%
82%
|
64 | 7 | 57 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ROC
2 - 1
BAS
31%
26%
44%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
BAS
3 - 0
DEI
78%
15%
8%
|
65 | 39 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Durazno FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
DUR
1 - 1
SBI
70%
18%
11%
|
55 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
DEI
0 - 2
DUR
12%
17%
71%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
DUR
0 - 1
CSC
69%
19%
12%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
CEN
1 - 2
DUR
53%
22%
25%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
COL
2 - 1
DUR
47%
23%
30%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |