Basáñez vs Alto Perú analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.8%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
6.9%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basáñez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
SAL
0 - 3
BAS
21%
27%
52%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
BAS
2 - 1
HBU
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
ROC
1 - 1
BAS
26%
28%
46%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
BAS
3 - 1
LUZ
77%
16%
8%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2017 |
POT
0 - 3
BAS
11%
15%
74%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Alto Perú
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
LUZ
2 - 1
ALT
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
SAL
1 - 0
ALT
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
ALT
0 - 2
HBU
24%
25%
51%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2017 |
BVS
1 - 0
ALT
74%
17%
9%
|
41 | 64 | 23 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
ALT
2 - 3
ROC
15%
17%
69%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | -1 |