Barwell vs Workington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
36.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2015 |
BUX
5 - 1
BAR
33%
24%
43%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
BLY
4 - 0
BAR
51%
23%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 0
SUT
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
MAT
1 - 3
BAR
38%
26%
36%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 1
DAR
30%
25%
45%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Workington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 2
WOR
30%
26%
44%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
BUX
0 - 2
WOR
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
WOR
3 - 2
ILK
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
FRI
1 - 1
WOR
31%
27%
42%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
WOR
1 - 4
SAL
31%
26%
43%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -2 |