Barwell vs Kettering Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
49.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 0
KIN
43%
23%
34%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
HIU
0 - 3
BAR
21%
19%
60%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 1
HIU
61%
19%
20%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
RUS
1 - 1
BAR
58%
20%
22%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 1
ALV
32%
24%
43%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Kettering Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
LEA
1 - 0
KET
40%
27%
33%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BUX
2 - 2
KET
56%
23%
22%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
BOS
1 - 1
KET
53%
23%
24%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
KET
1 - 3
ALF
41%
26%
33%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CUR
1 - 0
KET
27%
25%
48%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |