Barwell vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
BID
1 - 2
BAR
30%
26%
45%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
BAR
2 - 0
BED
73%
17%
10%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
HEM
1 - 1
BAR
45%
24%
31%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 3
STA
57%
23%
21%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2013 |
HIT
0 - 1
BAR
30%
25%
46%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
STA
2 - 2
BAS
70%
17%
13%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 0
WEY
32%
24%
44%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
BED
0 - 3
BAS
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
HEM
4 - 2
BAS
71%
17%
12%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
BID
0 - 0
BAS
59%
22%
20%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |