Non League Div One Southern Central round 22

Barton Rovers vs North Leigh analysis

Barton Rovers North Leigh
27 ELO 39
-9.6% Tilt 7.5%
9123º General ELO ranking 11585º
366º Country ELO ranking 434º
ELO win probability
15.3%
Barton Rovers
18.7%
Draw
66.1%
North Leigh

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
Barton Rovers
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
66%
Win probability
North Leigh
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Barton Rovers
+18%
-59%
North Leigh

Points and table prediction

Barton Rovers
Their league position
North Leigh
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
16º
12º
43
15º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Biggleswade Town
72
72
100%
Bedford Town
69
69
100%
Ware
62
62
100%
Waltham Abbey
61
61
0%
AFC Dunstable
61
61
0%
Cirencester Town
57
57
100%
Stotfold FC
55
55
100%
Hadley
52
55
72%
Welwyn Garden City
54
54
72%
Biggleswade
10º
48
48
10º
0%
Kings Langley
11º
48
48
11º
0%
Barton Rovers
12º
44
44
12º
0%
Kidlington
13º
44
44
13º
87.5%
Hertford Town
14º
44
44
14º
0%
Aylesbury United
15º
43
43
15º
0%
North Leigh
16º
43
43
16º
0%
Leighton Town
17º
42
42
17º
100%
Thame United FC
18º
37
37
18º
100%
Kempston Rovers
19º
29
29
19º
100%
Expected probabilities
Barton Rovers
North Leigh
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Barton Rovers
North Leigh
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Barton Rovers
Barton Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Dec. 2023
BAR
Barton Rovers
2 - 2
Kempston Rovers
KEM
72%
17%
11%
27 18 9 0
23 Dec. 2023
BAR
Barton Rovers
0 - 0
Bedford Town
BED
18%
21%
62%
26 41 15 +1
16 Dec. 2023
HAD
Hadley
1 - 3
Barton Rovers
BAR
58%
21%
21%
25 31 6 +1
02 Dec. 2023
WAL
Waltham Abbey
1 - 1
Barton Rovers
BAR
77%
13%
9%
25 39 14 0
25 Nov. 2023
BAR
Barton Rovers
1 - 3
Cirencester Town
CIR
22%
22%
56%
26 37 11 -1

Matches

North Leigh
North Leigh
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jan. 2024
NOR
North Leigh
3 - 0
Kidlington
KID
73%
16%
11%
39 30 9 0
26 Dec. 2023
CIR
Cirencester Town
3 - 0
North Leigh
NOR
36%
22%
43%
41 37 4 -2
23 Dec. 2023
NOR
North Leigh
3 - 0
AFC Dunstable
AFD
72%
16%
12%
41 33 8 0
16 Dec. 2023
BIG
Biggleswade Town
3 - 0
North Leigh
NOR
52%
22%
26%
43 44 1 -2
25 Nov. 2023
NOR
North Leigh
1 - 0
Waltham Abbey
WAL
58%
21%
21%
43 39 4 0