Barry Town vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
21.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
CAE
1 - 5
BAR
22%
23%
55%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2001 |
LLA
1 - 1
BAR
24%
23%
53%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2001 |
BAR
3 - 0
POR
78%
14%
9%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2001 |
BAR
3 - 0
NEW
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
TNS
1 - 1
BAR
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
CON
2 - 2
NEW
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2001 |
TNS
5 - 1
CON
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2001 |
CON
4 - 0
RHA
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2001 |
CON
4 - 2
BAN
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
LID
0 - 2
CON
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |