Barrow vs Southport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
41.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barrow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
STA
2 - 2
BAR
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
BAR
2 - 1
HUC
53%
24%
23%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2007 |
BAR
1 - 2
LEI
49%
25%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
SOL
1 - 1
BAR
52%
25%
24%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
MOO
0 - 0
BAR
58%
24%
19%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
SOU
1 - 1
AFC
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
ALF
1 - 2
SOU
25%
27%
48%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2007 |
WOR
2 - 3
SOU
45%
27%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
SOU
3 - 0
GAI
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
EXE
2 - 1
SOU
59%
23%
18%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |