Barrow vs Oxford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
49.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barrow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2009 |
BAR
3 - 1
MAN
30%
28%
42%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
SAL
3 - 0
BAR
53%
25%
22%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
KET
2 - 1
BAR
63%
22%
15%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
BAR
1 - 1
FOR
48%
25%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
LUT
1 - 0
BAR
70%
19%
11%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2009 |
OXF
3 - 1
CRA
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
GAT
0 - 1
OXF
30%
27%
43%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
MAN
2 - 1
OXF
31%
27%
42%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
OXF
4 - 0
EAS
62%
22%
15%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
WRE
0 - 1
OXF
23%
27%
49%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |