Barrow vs Kidderminster Harriers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
29.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barrow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 3
FOR
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2017 |
BAR
3 - 0
LIN
28%
25%
47%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
YOR
2 - 1
BAR
16%
22%
62%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
BAR
3 - 2
MAT
58%
23%
20%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 1
SOU
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
KID
4 - 0
NUN
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
KID
1 - 0
AFC
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
KID
3 - 0
EBB
37%
26%
37%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
SAL
3 - 0
KID
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2017 |
KID
2 - 1
WOR
72%
18%
10%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |