FA Trophy . 1/32
Global 7-5
Barrow vs Harrogate Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barrow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
TOW
3 - 3
BAR
22%
23%
55%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
BRO
1 - 2
BAR
51%
24%
26%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
DAG
1 - 4
BAR
33%
27%
40%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 0
GUI
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 1
SOL
62%
22%
17%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
TOW
3 - 3
BAR
22%
23%
55%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
SAL
0 - 3
TOW
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
TOW
2 - 1
AFC
60%
22%
19%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
TOW
2 - 2
SAL
32%
25%
44%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
BRA
2 - 1
TOW
64%
21%
14%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |