Conference North Round 4

Barrow vs Harrogate Town analysis

Barrow Harrogate Town
44 ELO 52
7.3% Tilt -10.1%
3453º General ELO ranking 3584º
90º Country ELO ranking 94º
ELO win probability
34.9%
Barrow
25%
Draw
40.1%
Harrogate Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
Barrow
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
40.1%
Win probability
Harrogate Town
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Barrow
+3%
-9%
Harrogate Town

ELO progression

Barrow
Harrogate Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Barrow
Barrow
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Aug. 2006
HUC
Hucknall Town
1 - 3
Barrow
BAR
56%
23%
21%
43 46 3 0
15 Aug. 2006
BLY
Blyth Spartans
1 - 0
Barrow
BAR
64%
21%
15%
44 52 8 -1
12 Aug. 2006
BAR
Barrow
0 - 1
Worcester City
WOR
34%
25%
41%
44 52 8 0
29 Apr. 2006
RED
Redditch United
2 - 1
Barrow
BAR
44%
25%
31%
45 40 5 -1
25 Apr. 2006
STA
Stalybridge Celtic
2 - 1
Barrow
BAR
62%
21%
17%
45 49 4 0

Matches

Harrogate Town
Harrogate Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Aug. 2006
TOW
Harrogate Town
0 - 0
Stalybridge Celtic
STA
49%
26%
25%
51 50 1 0
15 Aug. 2006
TOW
Harrogate Town
1 - 0
Worksop Town
WOR
67%
20%
14%
51 41 10 0
12 Aug. 2006
MOO
Moor Green
0 - 1
Harrogate Town
TOW
45%
25%
31%
51 50 1 0
29 Apr. 2006
RFC
Stafford Rangers
0 - 1
Harrogate Town
TOW
57%
23%
20%
49 56 7 +2
22 Apr. 2006
TOW
Harrogate Town
3 - 1
Lancaster City
LAN
58%
23%
19%
48 41 7 +1