Barrow vs Grays Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barrow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
OXF
1 - 0
BAR
63%
23%
15%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
BAR
2 - 2
AFC
29%
26%
45%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
BAR
2 - 1
EAS
32%
24%
44%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
GRA
3 - 3
BAR
40%
27%
34%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
BAR
2 - 0
EBB
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Grays Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
GAT
3 - 0
GRA
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
GRA
0 - 2
LUT
26%
27%
47%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
GRA
3 - 3
BAR
40%
27%
34%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
WRE
2 - 1
GRA
50%
26%
25%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
OXF
5 - 0
GRA
66%
21%
13%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | -1 |