Barrow vs Chester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barrow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
GUL
1 - 1
BAR
33%
26%
41%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
TRA
2 - 0
BAR
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
ALD
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
STA
2 - 0
BAR
24%
24%
52%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2016 |
STO
0 - 1
BAR
25%
25%
50%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
CHE
1 - 3
MAI
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
CHE
3 - 0
DAG
42%
24%
35%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
GAT
3 - 0
CHE
54%
22%
24%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Aug. 2016 |
CHE
1 - 2
FCB
61%
21%
19%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2016 |
NAN
1 - 1
CHE
47%
24%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |