Barretos vs Paulista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
15.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barretos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
GRE
0 - 0
BAR
21%
26%
53%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
BAR
0 - 2
AUD
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
AUD
0 - 1
BAR
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
NOR
0 - 1
BAR
37%
28%
35%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 1
NOR
49%
26%
25%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
PAU
1 - 1
NAC
44%
25%
32%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
PAU
3 - 3
MAR
52%
24%
23%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 0
PAU
43%
26%
31%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
PAU
2 - 1
FLA
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
FLA
0 - 2
PAU
37%
27%
36%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |