Barretos vs Noroeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
28.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barretos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
OLI
1 - 2
BAR
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 0
RIO
42%
26%
33%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
SAO
3 - 1
BAR
34%
28%
39%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 0
GRE
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 2
BAR
32%
27%
42%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
NOR
1 - 0
UNI
57%
24%
20%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
NOR
0 - 0
CAP
32%
26%
43%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
DES
1 - 2
NOR
35%
25%
41%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
VEL
0 - 1
NOR
41%
27%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
NOR
2 - 1
MOG
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |