La Barrera vs Ciudad de Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
57.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Barrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 1
UDM
22%
23%
56%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
ANT
2 - 0
BAR
61%
20%
19%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
ATC
3 - 3
BAR
43%
24%
33%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2014 |
BAR
4 - 3
CAS
34%
25%
41%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2014 |
EST
1 - 1
BAR
67%
18%
15%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CDL
0 - 2
ANT
69%
18%
13%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
ESP
4 - 0
CDL
39%
24%
38%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Jul. 2014 |
LUC
3 - 1
CDL
20%
22%
59%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | -1 |