Barracas Central vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
21.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barracas Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 0
PLA
49%
27%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 2
SUA
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
EST
1 - 0
BAR
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 2
SMG
68%
20%
12%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2017 |
ALM
0 - 0
BAR
30%
27%
43%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2017 |
DEF
2 - 0
SUA
38%
29%
33%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
EST
1 - 0
DEF
55%
26%
19%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
DEF
3 - 0
SMG
56%
26%
18%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
ALM
0 - 1
DEF
38%
30%
32%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2017 |
DEF
2 - 0
ESP
34%
30%
36%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |