Barracas Central vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
16.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barracas Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
MOR
1 - 0
BAR
42%
28%
31%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
BAR
2 - 2
UAI
39%
28%
34%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
EST
0 - 0
BAR
64%
22%
14%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 0
ARM
40%
27%
34%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
VSC
1 - 0
BAR
52%
27%
21%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
DEF
3 - 0
PLA
24%
30%
46%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2013 |
ACA
2 - 2
DEF
54%
26%
20%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2013 |
DEF
0 - 0
AND
38%
30%
32%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
FLA
0 - 1
DEF
52%
27%
21%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
CCO
0 - 0
DEF
49%
26%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |