Carioca 2 Round 22

Barra Mansa vs Teresópolis FC analysis

Barra Mansa Teresópolis FC
40 ELO 31
-5.8% Tilt 2.7%
24147º General ELO ranking 31261º
719º Country ELO ranking 1025º
ELO win probability
57%
Barra Mansa
22%
Draw
21%
Teresópolis FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
Barra Mansa
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
21%
Win probability
Teresópolis FC
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Barra Mansa
Teresópolis FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Barra Mansa
Barra Mansa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Jul. 2011
SER
Serra Macaense
2 - 5
Barra Mansa
BAR
42%
24%
34%
38 36 2 0
20 Jul. 2011
BAR
Barra Mansa
1 - 2
Portuguesa RJ
POR
49%
24%
28%
39 38 1 -1
16 Jul. 2011
SEC
Sendas EC
1 - 1
Barra Mansa
BAR
66%
19%
15%
39 47 8 0
13 Jul. 2011
BAR
Barra Mansa
0 - 2
Céres
CER
44%
25%
31%
40 41 1 -1
09 Jul. 2011
FRI
Friburguense
4 - 1
Barra Mansa
BAR
66%
19%
14%
41 51 10 -1

Matches

Teresópolis FC
Teresópolis FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Jul. 2011
TFC
Teresópolis FC
3 - 3
Quissamã
QUI
19%
24%
58%
30 49 19 0
20 Jul. 2011
IFC
Imperial FC
2 - 1
Teresópolis FC
TFC
54%
23%
24%
31 37 6 -1
16 Jul. 2011
TFC
Teresópolis FC
1 - 2
Tigres do Brasil
TIG
30%
25%
45%
32 42 10 -1
13 Jul. 2011
BON
Bonsucesso
2 - 1
Teresópolis FC
TFC
72%
18%
11%
33 49 16 -1
09 Jul. 2011
ANG
Angra dos Reis
0 - 2
Teresópolis FC
TFC
47%
23%
30%
31 29 2 +2