Barra Mansa vs Itaperuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
24.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barra Mansa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
SEC
1 - 1
BAR
66%
19%
15%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
MES
0 - 3
BAR
30%
25%
46%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 1
BON
26%
23%
51%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2011 |
AFC
0 - 3
BAR
28%
24%
48%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
BAR
2 - 0
SCR
54%
22%
24%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Itaperuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
ITA
0 - 3
BON
27%
24%
49%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
AFC
0 - 3
ITA
26%
24%
50%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
ITA
0 - 0
SCR
60%
21%
19%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2011 |
SAO
0 - 1
ITA
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
ITA
1 - 1
SER
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |