Barra Mansa vs Bonsucesso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
67.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barra Mansa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
RIO
0 - 1
BAR
59%
20%
21%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
RDJ
5 - 0
BAR
64%
19%
17%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 0
BAR
38%
22%
40%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 2
MAG
47%
23%
31%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
BON
3 - 2
BAR
65%
22%
13%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Bonsucesso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BON
1 - 0
SCR
53%
23%
25%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
BON
1 - 0
GOY
31%
27%
42%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
CAA
2 - 7
BON
27%
23%
50%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
BON
1 - 0
TIG
50%
26%
23%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
ADB
0 - 1
BON
27%
22%
51%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |