Barra da Tijuca vs Macaé Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
69.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barra da Tijuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
BOA
2 - 0
BAR
77%
15%
8%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 2
GOY
28%
25%
48%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
CAB
2 - 1
BAR
61%
21%
19%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 0
MES
70%
18%
12%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
AME
4 - 4
BAR
28%
24%
48%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
MAC
0 - 0
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
MAC
2 - 3
BOA
45%
24%
31%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
DUQ
1 - 1
MAC
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
MAD
2 - 2
MAC
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
MAC
2 - 0
CAX
43%
27%
31%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |