Baronie vs Gemert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
23%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baronie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
LON
1 - 3
BAR
18%
23%
60%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
BAR
1 - 0
DES
69%
18%
13%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
SCH
0 - 1
BAR
28%
26%
46%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
BAR
3 - 1
PAP
48%
24%
28%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
MEE
0 - 2
BAR
34%
26%
40%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Gemert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
GEM
2 - 0
DEU
49%
24%
28%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
UNA
3 - 2
GEM
53%
24%
23%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
GEM
2 - 2
EVV
55%
24%
21%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
OJC
0 - 0
GEM
35%
24%
41%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
JVC
1 - 0
GEM
44%
25%
31%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |