Baronie vs Gemert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
25.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baronie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
BAR
3 - 0
SVT
74%
16%
10%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
EVV
1 - 5
BAR
66%
19%
15%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
BAR
1 - 1
BLA
59%
21%
19%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
GEL
0 - 2
BAR
54%
23%
24%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
BAR
3 - 1
UNA
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Gemert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
GEM
0 - 1
EVV
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
BLA
2 - 2
GEM
38%
25%
37%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
GRO
2 - 2
GEM
23%
24%
53%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
GEM
1 - 2
OJC
45%
24%
31%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
JVC
0 - 3
GEM
57%
22%
21%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +2 |