Baronie vs EVV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baronie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
OJC
1 - 1
BAR
35%
25%
40%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
BAR
1 - 0
GEM
54%
24%
23%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
LON
1 - 3
BAR
18%
23%
60%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
BAR
1 - 0
DES
69%
18%
13%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
SCH
0 - 1
BAR
28%
26%
46%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
EVV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
EVV
2 - 2
DEU
60%
20%
20%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
UNA
1 - 1
EVV
54%
24%
22%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
JVC
1 - 2
EVV
52%
25%
23%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
EVV
2 - 1
OJC
68%
18%
14%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
GEM
2 - 2
EVV
55%
24%
21%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |