Combined Counties League Western League Premier Round 18

Barnstaple Town vs Brixham AFC analysis

Barnstaple Town Brixham AFC
36 ELO 22
13.7% Tilt 7.9%
10938º General ELO ranking 12065º
613º Country ELO ranking 690º
ELO win probability
80.8%
Barnstaple Town
11.4%
Draw
7.8%
Brixham AFC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.8%
Win probability
Barnstaple Town
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.4%
7.8%
Win probability
Brixham AFC
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Barnstaple Town
+2%
+29%
Brixham AFC

ELO progression

Barnstaple Town
Brixham AFC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Barnstaple Town
Barnstaple Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Dec. 2023
WEL
Wellington
2 - 3
Barnstaple Town
BAR
11%
15%
74%
37 18 19 0
25 Nov. 2023
AFC
Falmouth Town
3 - 1
Barnstaple Town
BAR
26%
20%
54%
38 29 9 -1
28 Oct. 2023
BAR
Barnstaple Town
0 - 0
Falmouth Town
AFC
76%
13%
10%
39 30 9 -1
07 Oct. 2023
BAR
Barnstaple Town
6 - 0
Wellington
WEL
87%
8%
4%
38 19 19 +1
30 Sep. 2023
HEA
Helston Athletic
1 - 3
Barnstaple Town
BAR
48%
21%
32%
36 37 1 +2

Matches

Brixham AFC
Brixham AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Dec. 2023
BFC
Brixham AFC
1 - 2
Clevedon Town
CLE
21%
19%
60%
23 35 12 0
25 Nov. 2023
BFC
Brixham AFC
1 - 1
Welton Rovers
WEL
61%
19%
20%
23 19 4 0
04 Nov. 2023
BFC
Brixham AFC
2 - 3
Torpoint Athletic
TOR
45%
21%
33%
25 25 0 -2
28 Oct. 2023
WEL
Wellington
1 - 5
Brixham AFC
BFC
28%
22%
50%
23 19 4 +2
14 Oct. 2023
STR
Street FC
0 - 2
Brixham AFC
BFC
61%
19%
20%
21 26 5 +2