Championship Round 18

Barnsley vs Reading analysis

Barnsley Reading
64 ELO 60
15.6% Tilt 14.8%
1639º General ELO ranking 1593º
53º Country ELO ranking 50º
ELO win probability
72.4%
Barnsley
16.1%
Draw
11.5%
Reading

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
Barnsley
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
11.5%
Win probability
Reading
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Barnsley
+11%
-6%
Reading

ELO progression

Barnsley
Reading
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Barnsley
Barnsley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Dec. 1928
TOT
Tottenham Hotspur
2 - 0
Barnsley
BAR
75%
14%
11%
65 76 11 0
24 Nov. 1928
BAR
Barnsley
2 - 2
Hull City
HUL
65%
20%
15%
65 67 2 0
17 Nov. 1928
POR
Port Vale
3 - 0
Barnsley
BAR
59%
21%
21%
66 66 0 -1
10 Nov. 1928
BAR
Barnsley
2 - 2
Middlesbrough
MID
41%
23%
36%
66 77 11 0
03 Nov. 1928
NOT
Notts County
4 - 1
Barnsley
BAR
57%
21%
22%
67 70 3 -1

Matches

Reading
Reading
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Dec. 1928
REA
Reading
2 - 1
Bristol City
BRI
55%
23%
22%
59 59 0 0
24 Nov. 1928
NTT
Nottingham Forest
1 - 2
Reading
REA
72%
16%
12%
58 64 6 +1
17 Nov. 1928
REA
Reading
5 - 3
West Bromwich Albion
WBA
31%
27%
42%
57 72 15 +1
10 Nov. 1928
BPO
Blackpool
7 - 0
Reading
REA
77%
14%
9%
58 63 5 -1
03 Nov. 1928
REA
Reading
1 - 1
Stoke City
STO
33%
27%
40%
58 72 14 0