Barnsley vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnsley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 1
CRA
52%
25%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 1
SHW
35%
26%
39%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 2
HUL
23%
25%
52%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 3
QPR
26%
29%
45%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
MID
3 - 1
BAR
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
FLE
2 - 1
CRE
52%
23%
24%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
CRE
2 - 1
PNE
28%
29%
43%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
BRI
0 - 0
CRE
62%
21%
18%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
CRE
0 - 0
COL
55%
24%
22%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
STF
1 - 3
CRE
37%
26%
37%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |