Barnet vs Newport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 3
MAN
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2015 |
NOT
4 - 2
BAR
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 0
MOR
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
LUT
2 - 0
BAR
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 0
BPO
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
NEW
3 - 0
LUT
30%
27%
44%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2015 |
OXF
1 - 1
NEW
64%
23%
13%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
NEW
0 - 0
YEO
53%
23%
23%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
NEW
4 - 1
BRA
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
STA
2 - 2
NEW
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |