Barnechea vs Fernández Vial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
19.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnechea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
IQU
0 - 2
BAR
49%
25%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 0
SWA
40%
26%
35%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BAR
4 - 2
CDM
47%
25%
27%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
UCO
2 - 1
BAR
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 1
COB
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Fernández Vial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
FVC
1 - 1
SAN
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
CDM
2 - 2
FVC
45%
27%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
FVC
1 - 2
DCO
28%
27%
46%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
PUE
0 - 1
FVC
55%
25%
20%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
FVC
1 - 1
MAG
16%
25%
59%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | +1 |