Barmbek-Uhlenhorst vs Siegen Sportfreunde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
8.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barmbek-Uhlenhorst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1974 |
PRE
1 - 1
BAR
47%
26%
26%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1974 |
BAR
0 - 1
ROT
36%
27%
38%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1974 |
BVB
2 - 1
BAR
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1974 |
BAR
2 - 1
AAA
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 1974 |
BAR
2 - 1
ISC
58%
25%
18%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Siegen Sportfreunde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1974 |
AAA
3 - 0
SPO
73%
16%
11%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1974 |
SPO
2 - 2
GUT
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1974 |
ERK
2 - 2
SPO
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
SPO
2 - 2
ARG
66%
21%
14%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
SCO
0 - 3
SPO
59%
23%
18%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +2 |