Bardejov vs Baník Kalinovo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
47.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
5º
14º
14º
30
6º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
47 | 56 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
1º
|
47 | 54 |
2º
|
71.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 51 |
3º
|
70.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 47 |
4º
|
46.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 45 |
5º
|
39.5% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 44 |
6º
|
38.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 43 |
7º
|
40.5% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 39 |
8º
|
53.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 36 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 35 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
|
11º
|
30 | 33 |
11º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 32 |
12º
|
37% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 30 |
13º
|
62.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
23 | 26 |
14º
|
69% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 20 |
15º
|
90.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
22% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
78% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bardejov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
FIL
3 - 1
BAR
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SVI
2 - 0
BAR
23%
21%
56%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
STK
2 - 0
BAR
58%
20%
23%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 2
TAT
8%
15%
77%
|
34 | 62 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
ORA
1 - 2
BAR
47%
22%
32%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Baník Kalinovo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
BAN
3 - 1
TES
28%
24%
48%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
BAN
3 - 0
NAM
53%
21%
26%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
BAN
3 - 3
SOB
21%
22%
57%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
FKP
2 - 2
BAN
81%
13%
6%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
BAN
5 - 2
SNI
18%
22%
60%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +4 |