Barco vs Celta C – Gran Peña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
34.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
8º
15º
14º
38
3º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
VIV
0 - 0
BAR
58%
21%
21%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 3
BOU
35%
25%
40%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ARZ
0 - 0
BAR
40%
24%
36%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 1
EST
39%
24%
37%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ARO
2 - 1
BAR
59%
23%
19%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Celta C – Gran Peña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
GRA
2 - 2
RCV
57%
22%
22%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SOM
0 - 3
GRA
50%
23%
27%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
GRA
1 - 0
UDO
51%
23%
26%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CHO
2 - 3
GRA
38%
25%
37%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
GRA
0 - 0
ART
61%
19%
20%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |