Barco vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
15.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
BAR
2 - 0
PON
66%
19%
15%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
BAR
3 - 3
ATL
79%
14%
7%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
VER
1 - 2
BAR
30%
25%
45%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
PON
0 - 1
BAR
49%
23%
28%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 0
POR
64%
19%
17%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
POR
5 - 0
CHO
37%
25%
38%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CEN
2 - 2
CHO
63%
20%
18%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
CHO
1 - 1
ARN
50%
23%
27%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 3
CEL
36%
24%
40%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
BEL
2 - 1
CHO
55%
22%
23%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |