Barco vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
39.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
BAR
4 - 1
BAR
61%
22%
17%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 0
RIB
43%
24%
33%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 2
BOU
36%
26%
38%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
BER
0 - 1
BAR
50%
25%
25%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
BAR
4 - 4
DEP
22%
23%
55%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CHO
0 - 0
BER
59%
22%
19%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
DEP
3 - 0
CHO
58%
22%
20%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
CHO
0 - 1
CER
52%
24%
25%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
RCV
2 - 1
CHO
32%
26%
42%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
CHO
2 - 1
NOI
80%
14%
7%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |